SCENARIO PLANNING PEMBANGUNAN SUMBER DAYA KELAUTAN DI KABUPATEN NATUNA*
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##
Abstract
Scenario Planning of Marine Resource Development in Natuna Regency
This study aims at finding out the description about the implementation of marine resource development in Natuna Regency as the source of analysis for formulating the draft of long-term planning scenario of marine resource in Natuna Regency. The approaches of this study are system thinking and system dynamics. Systems thinking approach is for designing a model based on the study on concept, theory, reality and innovation. The model is then simulated through system dynamics to examine the validity and to intervene the
policy upon the established model. This simulation on model results in scenario planning of marine resource development in Natuna Regency that is designed based on four scenario classifications (based on Ringland matrix). These scenarios are then arranged in three groups of study covering; 1) scenario on marine resource potential and fleet development towards the number of caught fish, 2) scenario on fleet development and fish marketing towards the income of caught fishery, and 3) scenario on fish basket development towards the production of cultivated fish and towards fishery income. The above scenarios are then proceeded by analysis of policy intervention, and by formulation of
strategy to improve the future development of marine resource intended to develop the social welfare.
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- The journal allow the authors to hold the copyright without restrictions and allow the authors to retain publishing rights without restrictions.
- Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) before and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.
References
Aminullah, Erman. 2004. Berpikir Sistemik – Untuk Pembuatan Kebijakan Publik. Jakarta:
ppm.
Maani, Kambiz E and Cavana, Robert Y. 2000. Systems Thinking Modelling-Understanding
Change and Complexity. New Zealand: High Performance Systems, Inc
Ringland, Gill. 1998. Scenario Planning – Managing for the Future. England: John Wiley &
Sons. Ltd
Riyadi dan Bratakusumah, Deddy Supriyadi. 2003. Perencanaan Pembangunan Daerah -
Strategi Menggali Potensi dalam Mewujudkan Otonomi Daerah. Jakarta: PT Gramedia
Pustaka Utama.
Senge, Peter. M. 1994. The Fifth Dicipline Fielbook. London: Nicholas Brealey Publishing
Trilestari, Endang Wirjatmi, (2008) Systems Thingking dan System Dynamics. Bandung
Yakin, Addinul. 2004. Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, Teori dan Kebijakan
Pembangunan Berkelanjutan. Jakarta: Akademika Presindo.
Makalah dan Surat Kabar
Dahuri, Rokhmin. 2004. Kebijakan Pembangunan Kelautan dan Perikanan Nasional – dalam
Kaitannya dengan Penataan Ruang Nasional dan Daerah. Departemen Kelautan dan
Perikanan. http://www. penataanruang.net/ taru/Makalah /RakerdaBKTRNMenLautan.
ppt#408,52,Slide 52.
Lowel, D. Dye. Using Scenario Planning as an Aid in Project Portfolio Management, Tricon
Consulting. Inc http://www. triconconsulting. com/source/included/articles/
scenario-planning-PMI.pdf
Peraturan Perundang-undangan
Undang-Undang Nomor 1 Tahun 1973 Tentang Landas Kontinen Indonesia
Undang-Undang Nomor 17 Tahun 1985 tentang Pengesahan United Nations Convention
On The Law of The SEA (Konvensi Perserikatan Bangsa-Bangsa tentang Hukum Laut
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 6 Tahun 1996 tentang Perairan Indonesia,
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 31 Tahun 2004 tentang Perikanan
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 32 Tahun 2004 tentang Pemerintahan Daerah
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 17 tahun 2007 tentang Rencana Pembangunan
Jangka Panjang Nasional Tahun 2005 – 2025.
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 26 Tahun 2007 tentang Penataan Ruang
Peraturan Pemerintah Repubik Indonesia Nomor 37 tahun 2002 tentang Hak dan
Kewajiban Kapal dan Pesawat Udara Asing dalam Melaksanakan Lintas Alur Laut
Kepulauan melalui Alur Laut Kepulauan yang ditetapkan.
Peraturan Daerah Kabupaten Natuna Nomor 14 Tahun 2005 tentang Struktur Organisasi
dan Tata Kerja Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Kabupaten Natuna.
Lain-lain
-------, 2004. Natuna dalam Angka, Bappeda Kab. Natuna
-------, 2005. Natuna dalam Angka, Bappeda Kab. Natuna
-------, 2006. Natuna dalam Angka, Bappeda Kab. Natuna